Lipid core burden index and new LDL-C calculation in predicting non-culprit coronary events in very high-risk patients: Insights from the Lipid-Rich Plaque Study

European Heart Journal

5 November 2025
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ESC Journals

Abstract

AbstractBackground

The European Society of Cardiology recommends an LDL-C threshold of <55 mg/dL for very high-risk patients. Lipid Core Burden Index (LCBI) per 4-mm coronary segment (maxLCBI4mm >400), assessed by near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS)-intravascular ultrasound, predicts non-culprit major adverse cardiac events (NC-MACE). Investigating the association of LDL-C thresholds and NC-MACE in LCBI groups is warranted.

Purpose

To evaluate the association between LDL-C very-high-risk threshold groups and NC-MACE, while investigating whether lipid-rich plaque burden measured by maxLCBI4mm further stratifies risk in very high-risk patients.

Methods

We analyzed data from an international multicenter prospective cohort (LRP Study, 2014-2016). Patients were stratified into high (maxLCBI4mm >400) and low (≤400) LCBI groups. LDL-C was calculated using the NIH equation. Spearman correlation assessed the relationship between maxLCBI4mm and LDL-C. NC-MACE, a composite of nonfatal myocardial infarction, acute coronary syndrome, revascularization, and angina-related hospitalization, was compared between LDL-C groups (≥55 mg/dL vs. <55 mg/dL) using Kaplan–Meier analysis with log-rank tests.

Results

619 patients had baseline LCBI measurements and lipid panel data. The correlation between maxLCBI4mm and LDL-C was weakly positive (r = 0.063, p = 0.08). Among these patients, 523 had LDL-C levels ≥55 mg/dL, while 96 had LDL-C <55 mg/dL. Over a median follow-up of 2 years, the cumulative incidence of NC-MACE was 11% (n=66). In patients with LDL-C ≥55 mg/dL, NC-MACE incidence was significantly higher in those with maxLCBI4mm >400 compared to ≤400 (log-rank p < 0.001). In contrast, NC-MACE rates in patients with LDL-C <55 mg/dL were not significantly different by maxLCBI4mm groups.

Conclusion

Our findings indicate that lipid-rich plaque burden (maxLCBI4mm >400) predicts cardiovascular events even in patients with LDL-C ≥55 mg/Dl. These findings suggest that plaque composition, rather than LDL-C alone, plays a critical role in residual cardiovascular risk stratification. Integrating intracoronary imaging with lipid management strategies may enhance risk assessment and guide targeted therapeutic interventions across risk thresholds.

Kaplan–Meier Curves

Contributors

K O Kuku
K O Kuku

Author

University Medical Centre Groningen Groningen , Netherlands (The)

P Shah
P Shah

Author

S Sum
S Sum

Author

Infraredx Boston , United States of America

C Di Mario
C Di Mario

Author

University of Florence Florence , Italy

A A Voors
A A Voors

Author

University Medical Centre Groningen Groningen , Netherlands (The)

R Waksman
R Waksman

Author

Washington Hospital Center & Medstar Health Washington, DC , United States of America