Deep learning for echocardiographic assessment and risk stratification of aortic, mitral, and tricuspid regurgitation: the DELINEATE-regurgitation study

Classification and risk stratification in aortic (AR), mitral (MR), and tricuspid regurgitation (TR) remains a significant clinical challenge. This study aimed to develop an artificial intelligence (AI) system to assess valvular regurgitation and stratify MR-progression risk.

Using transthoracic echocardiograms (TTEs) at two sites (internal development/test, external test), the DELINEATE-Regurgitation system was developed to classify AR, MR, and TR severity using colour Doppler videos. Methods of summating video-level classifications into study-level predictions were tested, comparing single-view with multiview approaches integrating predictions across multiple videos. Model agreement with cardiologists was assessed by weighted kappa. A separate AI system (DELINEATE-MR-Progression) analysing colour Doppler videos was developed to predict which patients with mild, mild–moderate, and moderate MR were most likely to progress to moderate–severe or severe MR with analysis by Kaplan–Meier and Cox proportional hazards models.

A total of 71 660 TTEs with 1 203 980 colour Doppler videos were included. The weighted kappa in internal/external test sets for regurgitation classification was 0.81/0.76 for AR, 0.76/0.72 for MR, and 0.73/0.64 for TR using a multiview approach taking all colour Doppler videos in a study, demonstrating substantial agreement with cardiologist interpretation with superiority of multiview over single view approaches. In the progression analysis, the AI score stratified MR-progression risk even when controlled for clinical factors known to be associated with MR progression [internal test set hazard ratio 4.1 (95% confidence interval 2.5–6.6)].

An AI system can accurately classify AR, MR, and TR and predict MR progression beyond currently known risk factors.