Increased circulating BMP10 levels are associated with late postoperative atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery and left atrial endomysial fibrosis

Serum bone morphogenetic protein 10 (BMP10) levels are a marker for history of atrial fibrillation (AF) and for major adverse cardiovascular events in AF-patients, including stroke, recurrence after catheter ablation, and mortality. The predictive value of BMP10 in patients undergoing cardiac surgery and association with morphological properties of atrial tissue are unknown.

To study the correlation between BMP10 levels and pre-operative clinical traits, occurrence of early and late postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF), and atrial fibrosis in patients undergoing cardiac surgery.

Patients with and without preoperative AF history undergoing first cardiac surgery were included (RACE V, n=147). Pre-operative blood biomarkers were analyzed, left (n=114) and right (n=125) atrial appendage biopsies were histologically assessed following WGA-staining, and post-operative rhythm was monitored continuously with implantable loop recorders (n=134, 2.5yrs).

Multiple logistic regression indicated that BMP10 accurately predicts a history of persistent AF (OR=1.24, 95%CI: 1.10-1.40, p=4.32e-4), similar to NT-pro-BNP. BMP10 levels were associated with increased late-POAF90 occurrence after adjusting for age, sex, AF history, and early-POAF occurrence (HR=1.07 [per 0.1ng/ml increase], 95%CI: 1.00-1.14, p=0.04). Left atrial endomysial fibrosis (St.β=0.22, p=0.04), but not overall fibrosis (St. β= , p=), was associated with circulating BMP10, after adjusting for age, sex, AF history, reduced LVF, and valvular surgery indication.

Increased BMP10 levels were associated with persistent AF-history, increased late-POAF incidence, and LAA endomysial fibrosis in a diverse population of patients undergoing cardiac surgery.