Prognostic importance of the transmitral pressure gradient in mitral annular calcification with associated mitral valve dysfunction

The aim of this study was to define the natural history of patients with mitral annular calcification (MAC)-related mitral valve dysfunction and to assess the prognostic importance of mean transmitral pressure gradient (MG) and impact of concomitant mitral regurgitation (MR).

The institutional echocardiography database was examined from 2001 to 2019 for all patients with MAC and MG ≥3 mmHg. A total of 5754 patients were stratified by MG in low (3–5 mmHg, n = 3927), mid (5–10 mmHg, n = 1476), and high (≥10 mmHg, n = 351) gradient. The mean age was 78 ± 11 years, and 67% were female. MR was none/trace in 32%, mild in 42%, moderate in 23%, and severe in 3%. Primary outcome was all-cause mortality, and outcome models were adjusted for age, sex, and MAC-related risk factors (hypertension, diabetes, coronary artery disease, chronic kidney disease). Survival at 1, 5, and 10 years was 77%, 42%, and 18% in the low-gradient group; 73%, 38%, and 17% in the mid-gradient group; and 67%, 25%, and 11% in the high-gradient group, respectively (log-rank P < 0.001 between groups). MG was independently associated with mortality (adjusted HR 1.064 per 1 mmHg increase, 95% CI 1.049–1.080). MR severity was associated with mortality at low gradients (P < 0.001) but not at higher gradients (P = 0.166 and 0.372 in the mid- and high-gradient groups, respectively).

In MAC-related mitral valve dysfunction, mean transmitral gradient is associated with increased mortality after adjustment for age, sex, and MAC-related risk factors. Concomitant MR is associated with excess mortality in low-gradient ranges (3–5 mmHg) but gradually loses prognostic importance at higher gradients, indicating prognostic utility of transmitral gradient in MAC regardless of MR severity.